FK Egnatia x Af Elbasani Betting tips for November 30 in Albania Championship

Our betting tip for FK Egnatia x Af Elbasani, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 12:30

FK Egnatia 2.30

X 2.80

Af Elbasani 3.06

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FK Egnatia x Af Elbasani:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for FK Egnatia x Af Elbasani

The main points for the tip for FK Egnatia x Af Elbasani: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Egnatia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-320.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on AF Elbasani in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-285.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, FK Egnatia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 FK Egnatia matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 AF Elbasani matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 road matches, AF Elbasani has not lost any of them.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on FK Egnatia x Af Elbasani?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from FK Egnatia x Af Elbasani for the Albania Championship – 30 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FK Egnatia x Af Elbasani right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FK Egnatia x Af Elbasani

Should you bet on FK Egnatia?

🔵 FK Egnatia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $481.00;
• And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$149.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
• And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$20.00.

Is it worth betting on Af Elbasani?

🔴 Af Elbasani: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.06. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $576.80;
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$143.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match FK Egnatia x Af Elbasani

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FK Egnatia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Egnatia x Af Elbasani

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 FK Egnatia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 FK Egnatia.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Af Elbasani.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Egnatia x Af Elbasani

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.