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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» FK Jezero x FK Bokelj Betting tips for April 6 in Montenegro Prva Liga
Sunday, 06 April 2025, 13h00 Montenegro Prva Liga
FK Jezero FK Jezero
PREDICTION No tip
FK Bokelj FK Bokelj
Don't miss this prediction!

FK Jezero x FK Bokelj Betting tips for April 6 in Montenegro Prva Liga

Our betting tip for FK Jezero x FK Bokelj, Sunday, 6/4/2025
πŸ“… 6/4/2025
13:00
FK Jezero FK Jezero
2.55
X
2.80
FK Bokelj FK Bokelj
2.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FK Jezero x FK Bokelj:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for FK Jezero x FK Bokelj

The main points for the tip for FK Jezero x FK Bokelj:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FK Jezero in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $75.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FK Bokelj in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $37.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, FK Jezero scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ FK Jezero has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against FK Bokelj playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from FK Jezero x FK Bokelj for the Montenegro Prva Liga – 6 of April

🏟️ FK Jezero X FK Bokelj – Montenegro Prva Liga
πŸ“… 6 of April, 2025 – 13:00
πŸ”΅ FK Jezero – Winning probability: 31.96% | Fair line: 3.13
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.64% | Fair line: 3.16
πŸ”΄ FK Bokelj – Winning probability: 36.40% | Fair line: 2.75
βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: -0.25 FK Jezero
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FK Jezero x FK Bokelj right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1296560 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1Γ—2 market for FK Jezero x FK Bokelj

Is betting on FK Jezero worth it?

πŸ”΅ FK Jezero: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $496.00;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$184.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $576.00
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$104.00.

Is it worth betting on FK Bokelj?

πŸ”΄ FK Bokelj: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $630.00;
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$10.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FK Jezero x FK Bokelj

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: -0.25 FK Jezero
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1Γ—2 market for FK Jezero x FK Bokelj

βš– Handicap 1Γ—2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 FK Jezero and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 FK Jezero.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1Γ—2 is on: 0.0 FK Jezero.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Jezero x FK Bokelj

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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