FK Kapaz x PFK Turan Tovuz Betting tips for December 19 in Azerbaijan Premier League
| 📅 19/12/2025 10:00 |
 FK Kapaz4.40 |
X 3.50 |
PFK Turan Tovuz  1.70 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for FK Kapaz x PFK Turan Tovuz:
🔮 PFK Turan Tovuz wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PFK Turan Tovuz, you can win up to $850.00!
Some important points for the tip for FK Kapaz x PFK Turan Tovuz:
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between FK Kapaz x PFK Turan Tovuz, with FK Kapaz as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, FK Kapaz conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against PFK Turan Tovuz.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, PFK Turan Tovuz has not lost any of them.
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Analysis from FK Kapaz x PFK Turan Tovuz for the Azerbaijan Premier League – 19 of December
🏟️ FK Kapaz X PFK Turan Tovuz – Azerbaijan Premier League
📅 19 of December, 2025 – 10:00
🔵 FK Kapaz – Winning probability: 11.86% | Fair line: 8.43
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.80% | Fair line: 4.2
🔴 PFK Turan Tovuz – Winning probability: 64.34% | Fair line: 1.55
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FK Kapaz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks
When the best bet on FK Kapaz x PFK Turan Tovuz is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1454884 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for FK Kapaz x PFK Turan Tovuz
Is betting on FK Kapaz worth it?
🔵 FK Kapaz: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $408.00
- And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$472.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.00.
Is it worth betting on PFK Turan Tovuz?
🔴 PFK Turan Tovuz: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 64.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 640 times – having a profit of $448.00;
- And would lose other 360 times – having a loss of -$360.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$88.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match FK Kapaz x PFK Turan Tovuz
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FK Kapaz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Kapaz x PFK Turan Tovuz
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 FK Kapaz and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 FK Kapaz.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 FK Kapaz.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Kapaz x PFK Turan Tovuz
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
