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Home » Predictions » FK Kukesi x Besa Kavaje Betting tips for October 30 in Albania First Division
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 13h00 Albania First Division
FK Kukesi FK Kukesi
PREDICTION No tip
Besa Kavaje Besa Kavaje
Don't miss this prediction!

FK Kukesi x Besa Kavaje Betting tips for October 30 in Albania First Division

Our betting tip for FK Kukesi x Besa Kavaje, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
📅 30/10/2024
13:00
FK Kukesi FK Kukesi
2.31
X
3.36
Besa Kavaje Besa Kavaje
2.47

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FK Kukesi x Besa Kavaje:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for FK Kukesi x Besa Kavaje

Some important points for the tip for FK Kukesi x Besa Kavaje:

👉 In the last 6 road matches, Besa Kavaje has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from FK Kukesi x Besa Kavaje for the Albania First Division – 30 of October

🏟️ FK Kukesi X Besa Kavaje – Albania First Division
📅 30 of October, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 FK Kukesi – Winning probability: 26.94% | Fair line: 3.71
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.63% | Fair line: 3.49
🔴 Besa Kavaje – Winning probability: 44.42% | Fair line: 2.25
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FK Kukesi
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FK Kukesi and Besa Kavaje.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1212778 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FK Kukesi x Besa Kavaje

Should you bet on FK Kukesi?

🔵 FK Kukesi: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.31. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $353.70
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$376.30.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $684.40;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$25.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Besa Kavaje?

🔴 Besa Kavaje: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.47. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $646.80
  • And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$86.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FK Kukesi x Besa Kavaje

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 FK Kukesi
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Kukesi x Besa Kavaje

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 FK Kukesi, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 FK Kukesi.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Besa Kavaje.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Kukesi x Besa Kavaje

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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