FK Qarabag x Araz FK Betting tips for December 14 in Azerbaijan Premier League
| 📅 14/12/2025 13:30 |
 FK Qarabag1.36 |
X 4.33 |
Araz FK  6.80 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FK Qarabag x Araz FK:
🔮 FK Qarabag wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FK Qarabag, you can win up to $680.00!
Important information for your tip for FK Qarabag x Araz FK:
👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Qarabag in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-91.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Araz FK in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, FK Qarabag scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Araz FK scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Araz FK, FK Qarabag scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Araz FK matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Araz FK conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 FK Qarabag has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Araz FK.
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Analysis from FK Qarabag x Araz FK for the Azerbaijan Premier League – 14 of December
🏟️ FK Qarabag X Araz FK – Azerbaijan Premier League
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 FK Qarabag – Winning probability: 85.64% | Fair line: 1.17
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.80% | Fair line: 9.26
🔴 Araz FK – Winning probability: 3.56% | Fair line: 28.09
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 FK Qarabag
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FK Qarabag x Araz FK right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452657 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for FK Qarabag x Araz FK
Is it worth betting on FK Qarabag?
🔵 FK Qarabag: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 85.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 860 times – profiting $309.60;
- And would lose other 140 times – having a loss of -$140.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$169.60.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $366.30;
- And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$523.70.
Should you bet on Araz FK?
🔴 Araz FK: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $232.00
- And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$728.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match FK Qarabag x Araz FK
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 FK Qarabag
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Qarabag x Araz FK
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 FK Qarabag, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 FK Qarabag. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Qarabag x Araz FK
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
