FK Qarabag x Sabail FC Betting tips for September 14 in Azerbaijan Premier League

Our betting tip for FK Qarabag x Sabail FC, Saturday, 14/9/2024

📅 14/9/2024 12:00

FK Qarabag 1.25

X 5.25

Sabail FC 7.72

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FK Qarabag x Sabail FC:

🔮 FK Qarabag wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FK Qarabag, you can win up to $625.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for FK Qarabag x Sabail FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Qarabag in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-264.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sabail FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Sabail FC, FK Qarabag scored at least 3 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between FK Qarabag x Sabail FC, with FK Qarabag as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Sabail FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 FK Qarabag has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Sabail FC. 👉 It is not a good time for Sabail FC as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from FK Qarabag x Sabail FC for the Azerbaijan Premier League – 14 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FK Qarabag and Sabail FC.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1179779 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FK Qarabag x Sabail FC

Is it a good idea to bet on FK Qarabag?

🔵 FK Qarabag: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 97.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 970 times – this would give you a profit of $242.50
• And would lose other 30 times – losing -$30.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$212.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 20 times – profiting $85.00;
• And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$895.00.

Should you bet on Sabail FC?

🔴 Sabail FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $67.20
• And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$922.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match FK Qarabag x Sabail FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 FK Qarabag
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Qarabag x Sabail FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.25 FK Qarabag and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 FK Qarabag.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 FK Qarabag.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Qarabag x Sabail FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.