FK Vora x KS Lushnja Betting tips for October 20 in Albania First Division
| 📅 20/10/2024 12:00 |
 FK Vora2.04 |
X 3.34 |
KS Lushnja  3.20 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for FK Vora x KS Lushnja:
🔮 FK Vora wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FK Vora, you can win up to $1020.00!
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The main points for the tip for FK Vora x KS Lushnja: 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, FK Vora scored at least 1 goal(s). |
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Analysis from FK Vora x KS Lushnja for the Albania First Division – 20 of October
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🏟️ FK Vora X KS Lushnja – Albania First Division |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FK Vora x KS Lushnja right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1204538 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for FK Vora x KS Lushnja
Is it worth betting on FK Vora?
🔵 FK Vora: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 83.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.04. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 840 times – this would give you a profit of $873.60
- And would lose other 160 times – losing -$160.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$713.60.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.34. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 110 times – profiting $257.40;
- And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$632.60.
Should you bet on KS Lushnja?
🔴 KS Lushnja: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $132.00;
- And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$808.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match FK Vora x KS Lushnja
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 FK Vora
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Vora x KS Lushnja
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 FK Vora and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 FK Vora.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 FK Vora.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Vora x KS Lushnja
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.
