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Home » Predictions » Others » Flamengo x Atletico Mineiro Betting tips for November 3 in Copa do Brasil
Sunday, 03 November 2024, 19h00 Copa do Brasil
Flamengo Flamengo
PREDICTION Flamengo wins Probability 67% 1 X 2
Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro
ODD: @1.86 Don't miss this prediction!

Flamengo x Atletico Mineiro Betting tips for November 3 in Copa do Brasil

Our betting tip for Flamengo x Atletico Mineiro, Sunday, 3/11/2024
📅 3/11/2024
19:00
Flamengo Flamengo
1.86
X
3.34
Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro
4.22

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Flamengo x Atletico Mineiro:

🔮 Flamengo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Flamengo, you can win up to $930.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Flamengo x Atletico Mineiro:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Flamengo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-16.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Mineiro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 Atletico Mineiro matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Atletico Mineiro has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Flamengo x Atletico Mineiro for the Copa do Brasil – 3 of November

🏟️ Flamengo X Atletico Mineiro – Copa do Brasil
📅 3 of November, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 Flamengo – Winning probability: 67.65% | Fair line: 1.48
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.62% | Fair line: 5.1
🔴 Atletico Mineiro – Winning probability: 12.73% | Fair line: 7.86
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Flamengo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Flamengo x Atletico Mineiro is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1214487 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Flamengo x Atletico Mineiro

Should you bet on Flamengo?

🔵 Flamengo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 67.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.86. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 680 times – profiting $584.80;
  • And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$264.80.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.34. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $468.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$332.00.

Is betting on Atletico Mineiro worth it?

🔴 Atletico Mineiro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $418.60;
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$451.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Flamengo x Atletico Mineiro

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Flamengo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Flamengo x Atletico Mineiro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Flamengo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Flamengo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Flamengo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Flamengo x Atletico Mineiro

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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