Flamengo x Corinthians Betting tips for October 2 in Copa do Brasil

Our betting tip for Flamengo x Corinthians, Wednesday, 2/10/2024

📅 2/10/2024 21:45

Flamengo 1.65

X 3.60

Corinthians 4.88

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Flamengo x Corinthians:

🔮 Flamengo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Flamengo, you can win up to $825.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Flamengo x Corinthians: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Flamengo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $30.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Corinthians in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Corinthians scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Corinthians, Flamengo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Flamengo matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Flamengo x Corinthians?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Flamengo x Corinthians for the Copa do Brasil – 2 of October

When the best bet on Flamengo x Corinthians is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1193870 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Flamengo x Corinthians

Is betting on Flamengo worth it?

🔵 Flamengo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 67.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 670 times – having a profit of $435.50;
• And would have lost other 330 times – with a loss of -$330.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$105.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 200 times – profiting $520.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$280.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Corinthians?

🔴 Corinthians: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $504.40;
• And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$365.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Flamengo x Corinthians

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Flamengo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Flamengo x Corinthians

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Flamengo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Flamengo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Corinthians.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Flamengo x Corinthians

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.