Fleetwood Town x Milton Keynes Dons Betting tips for November 23 in England League 2

Our betting tip for Fleetwood Town x Milton Keynes Dons, Saturday, 23/11/2024

📅 23/11/2024 15:00

Fleetwood Town 2.55

X 3.30

Milton Keynes Dons 2.62

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Fleetwood Town x Milton Keynes Dons:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Fleetwood Town x Milton Keynes Dons

Important information for your tip for Fleetwood Town x Milton Keynes Dons: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fleetwood Town in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-25.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Milton Keynes Dons in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $96.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Milton Keynes Dons scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Milton Keynes Dons, Fleetwood Town scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Fleetwood Town x Milton Keynes Dons, with Fleetwood Town as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Milton Keynes Dons matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Milton Keynes Dons conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Milton Keynes Dons has not lost any of them. 👉 Fleetwood Town has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Milton Keynes Dons playing at home.

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Analysis from Fleetwood Town x Milton Keynes Dons for the England League 2 – 23 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fleetwood Town x Milton Keynes Dons right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1225887 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Fleetwood Town x Milton Keynes Dons

Is it worth betting on Fleetwood Town?

🔵 Fleetwood Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $682.00
• And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$122.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $552.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.

Should you bet on Milton Keynes Dons?

🔴 Milton Keynes Dons: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $502.20
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$187.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fleetwood Town x Milton Keynes Dons

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Fleetwood Town
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fleetwood Town x Milton Keynes Dons

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Fleetwood Town, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Fleetwood Town.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fleetwood Town x Milton Keynes Dons

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.