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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Folkestone Invicta x Bognor Regis Town Betting tips for November 25 in England Isthmian Premier Division
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England Isthmian Premier Division
Folkestone Invicta Folkestone Invicta
PREDICTION No tip
Bognor Regis Town Bognor Regis Town
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Folkestone Invicta x Bognor Regis Town Betting tips for November 25 in England Isthmian Premier Division

Our betting tip for Folkestone Invicta x Bognor Regis Town, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Folkestone Invicta Folkestone Invicta
2.15
X
3.57
Bognor Regis Town Bognor Regis Town
2.76

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Folkestone Invicta x Bognor Regis Town:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Folkestone Invicta x Bognor Regis Town

Some important points for the tip for Folkestone Invicta x Bognor Regis Town:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Folkestone Invicta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $120.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bognor Regis Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Folkestone Invicta scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Bognor Regis Town scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Bognor Regis Town, Folkestone Invicta scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Bognor Regis Town matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Bognor Regis Town conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Folkestone Invicta has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Bognor Regis Town.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Bognor Regis Town as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

πŸ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Folkestone Invicta x Bognor Regis Town

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Summary

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Analysis from Folkestone Invicta x Bognor Regis Town for the England Isthmian Premier Division – 25 of November

🏟️ Folkestone Invicta X Bognor Regis Town – England Isthmian Premier Division
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Folkestone Invicta – Winning probability: 35.08% | Fair line: 2.85
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.09% | Fair line: 3.83
πŸ”΄ Bognor Regis Town – Winning probability: 38.83% | Fair line: 2.58
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Folkestone Invicta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Folkestone Invicta x Bognor Regis Town is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Folkestone Invicta x Bognor Regis Town

Should you bet on Folkestone Invicta?

πŸ”΅ Folkestone Invicta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $402.50;
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$247.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $668.20
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$71.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Bognor Regis Town?

πŸ”΄ Bognor Regis Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.76. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $686.40
  • And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$76.40, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Folkestone Invicta x Bognor Regis Town

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Folkestone Invicta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Folkestone Invicta x Bognor Regis Town

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Folkestone Invicta and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Folkestone Invicta.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Folkestone Invicta.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Folkestone Invicta x Bognor Regis Town

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves