Forli x AC Carpi Betting tips for December 13 in Italy Serie C Group B

Our betting tip for Forli x AC Carpi, Saturday, 13/12/2025

📅 13/12/2025
16:30

Forli
2.37

X
3.00

AC Carpi

2.78

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Forli x AC Carpi:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Forli x AC Carpi

Some important points for the tip for Forli x AC Carpi:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Forli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Carpi in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $350.0.
👉 In the last 3 AC Carpi matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Forli conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Forli has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against AC Carpi playing at home.

Summary

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Analysis from Forli x AC Carpi for the Italy Serie C Group B – 13 of December

🏟️ Forli X AC Carpi – Italy Serie C Group B
📅 13 of December, 2025 – 16:30
🔵 Forli – Winning probability: 43.47% | Fair line: 2.3
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.64% | Fair line: 3.62
🔴 AC Carpi – Winning probability: 28.89% | Fair line: 3.46
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Forli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Forli x AC Carpi right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452291 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Forli x AC Carpi

Is betting on Forli worth it?

🔵 Forli: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.37. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $589.10
And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$19.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $560.00
And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Should you bet on AC Carpi?

🔴 AC Carpi: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $516.20
And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$193.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Forli x AC Carpi

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Forli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Forli x AC Carpi

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Forli, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Forli.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Forli x AC Carpi

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.