Fortaleza x Ceara Betting tips for March 15 in Brazil Campeonato Cearense

Our betting tip for Fortaleza x Ceara, Saturday, 15/3/2025

📅 15/3/2025 19:30

Fortaleza 1.91

X 3.20

Ceara 3.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Fortaleza x Ceara:

🔮 Fortaleza wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fortaleza, you can win up to $955.00!

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The main points for the tip for Fortaleza x Ceara: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-143.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ceara in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $311.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Fortaleza scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Ceara scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Ceara is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 4 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Analysis from Fortaleza x Ceara for the Brazil Campeonato Cearense – 15 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Fortaleza and Ceara.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Fortaleza x Ceara

Should you bet on Fortaleza?

🔵 Fortaleza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $418.60
• And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$121.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $616.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$104.00.

Is betting on Ceara worth it?

🔴 Ceara: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $676.00;
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$64.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Fortaleza x Ceara

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Fortaleza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fortaleza x Ceara

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Fortaleza, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Fortaleza.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Ceara.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fortaleza x Ceara

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.