Fortaleza CEIF x La Equidad Betting tips for November 5 in Colombia Primera A
| 📅 5/11/2024 23:00 |
 Fortaleza CEIF2.05 |
X 2.94 |
La Equidad  3.82 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Fortaleza CEIF x La Equidad:
🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for Fortaleza CEIF x La Equidad: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza CEIF in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-143.0. |
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Analysis from Fortaleza CEIF x La Equidad for the Colombia Primera A – 5 of November
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🏟️ Fortaleza CEIF X La Equidad – Colombia Primera A |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fortaleza CEIF x La Equidad right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1216337 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Fortaleza CEIF x La Equidad
Is it worth betting on Fortaleza CEIF?
🔵 Fortaleza CEIF: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $315.00;
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$385.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 380 times – profiting $737.20;
- And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$117.20.
Is it worth betting on La Equidad?
🔴 La Equidad: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 320 times – profiting $902.40;
- And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$222.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Fortaleza CEIF x La Equidad
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Fortaleza CEIF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fortaleza CEIF x La Equidad
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Fortaleza CEIF and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Fortaleza CEIF.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Fortaleza CEIF.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fortaleza CEIF x La Equidad
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
