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Home » Predictions » Others » Fortaleza U20 x Carajas EC U20 Betting tips for January 5 in Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
Sunday, 05 January 2025, 22h00 Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
Fortaleza U20 Fortaleza U20
PREDICTION Fortaleza U20 wins Probability 98% 1 X 2
Carajas EC U20 Carajas EC U20
ODD: @1.15 Don't miss this prediction!

Fortaleza U20 x Carajas EC U20 Betting tips for January 5 in Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup

Our betting tip for Fortaleza U20 x Carajas EC U20, Sunday, 5/1/2025
📅 5/1/2025
22:00
Fortaleza U20 Fortaleza U20
1.15
X
6.55
Carajas EC U20 Carajas EC U20
12.06

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Fortaleza U20 x Carajas EC U20:

🔮 Fortaleza U20 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fortaleza U20, you can win up to $575.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Fortaleza U20 x Carajas EC U20:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Carajas EC U20 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Fortaleza U20 scored at least 3 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Fortaleza U20 matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 Carajas EC U20 matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Fortaleza U20 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Carajas EC U20 conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Fortaleza U20 is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Carajas EC U20 as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Fortaleza U20 x Carajas EC U20 for the Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup – 5 of January

🏟️ Fortaleza U20 X Carajas EC U20 – Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup
📅 5 of January, 2025 – 22:00
🔵 Fortaleza U20 – Winning probability: 98.41% | Fair line: 1.02
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.18% | Fair line: 84.42
🔴 Carajas EC U20 – Winning probability: 0.40% | Fair line: 247.41
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.5 Fortaleza U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Fortaleza U20 x Carajas EC U20 is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1242335 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Fortaleza U20 x Carajas EC U20

Should you bet on Fortaleza U20?

🔵 Fortaleza U20: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 98.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 980 times – profiting $147.00;
  • And would lose other 20 times – losing -$20.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$127.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $55.50
  • And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$934.50.

Is it worth betting on Carajas EC U20?

🔴 Carajas EC U20: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 12.06. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Fortaleza U20 x Carajas EC U20

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.5 Fortaleza U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fortaleza U20 x Carajas EC U20

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.5 Fortaleza U20 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.0 Fortaleza U20.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.0 Fortaleza U20.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fortaleza U20 x Carajas EC U20

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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