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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Fortuna Dusseldorf II x Cologne II Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Regionalliga West
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Regionalliga West
Fortuna Dusseldorf II Fortuna Dusseldorf II
PREDICTION Cologne II Wins Probability 75% 1 X 2
Cologne II Cologne II
ODD: @1.65 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Fortuna Dusseldorf II x Cologne II Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Regionalliga West

Our betting tip for Fortuna Dusseldorf II x Cologne II, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
18:30
Fortuna Dusseldorf II Fortuna Dusseldorf II
4.10
X
3.93
Cologne II Cologne II
1.65

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Fortuna Dusseldorf II x Cologne II:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Cologne II wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cologne II, you can win up to $825.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Fortuna Dusseldorf II x Cologne II:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Fortuna Dusseldorf II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cologne II in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-60.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Cologne II scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Fortuna Dusseldorf II conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Fortuna Dusseldorf II x Cologne II

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Fortuna Dusseldorf II x Cologne II for the Germany Regionalliga West – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Fortuna Dusseldorf II X Cologne II – Germany Regionalliga West
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 18:30
๐Ÿ”ต Fortuna Dusseldorf II – Winning probability: 9.00% | Fair line: 11.12
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.11% | Fair line: 6.62
๐Ÿ”ด Cologne II – Winning probability: 75.89% | Fair line: 1.32
โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Fortuna Dusseldorf II
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fortuna Dusseldorf II x Cologne II right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024961 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fortuna Dusseldorf II x Cologne II

Is it a good idea to bet on Fortuna Dusseldorf II?

๐Ÿ”ต Fortuna Dusseldorf II: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $279.00;
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$631.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.93. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $439.50;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$410.50.

Is betting on Cologne II worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Cologne II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 75.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 760 times – this would give you a profit of $494.00
  • And would lose other 240 times – losing -$240.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$254.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Fortuna Dusseldorf II x Cologne II

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Fortuna Dusseldorf II
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fortuna Dusseldorf II x Cologne II

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Fortuna Dusseldorf II, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Fortuna Dusseldorf II.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Cologne II.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fortuna Dusseldorf II x Cologne II

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

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