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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Fortuna Sittard Women x Telstar Women Betting tips for November 24 in Netherlands Eredivisie Women
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Netherlands Eredivisie Women
Fortuna Sittard Women Fortuna Sittard Women
PREDICTION Fortuna Sittard Women wins Probability 1% 1 X 2
Telstar Women Telstar Women
ODD: @1.2 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Fortuna Sittard Women x Telstar Women Betting tips for November 24 in Netherlands Eredivisie Women

Our betting tip for Fortuna Sittard Women x Telstar Women, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
18:30
Fortuna Sittard Women Fortuna Sittard Women
1.20
X
6.10
Telstar Women Telstar Women
11.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Fortuna Sittard Women x Telstar Women:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Fortuna Sittard Women wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fortuna Sittard Women, you can win up to $600.00!

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The main points for the tip for Fortuna Sittard Women x Telstar Women:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Fortuna Sittard Women in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $52.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Telstar Women in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Telstar Women matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Fortuna Sittard Women x Telstar Women

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Summary

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Analysis from Fortuna Sittard Women x Telstar Women for the Netherlands Eredivisie Women – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Fortuna Sittard Women X Telstar Women – Netherlands Eredivisie Women
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 18:30
๐Ÿ”ต Fortuna Sittard Women – Winning probability: 91.94% | Fair line: 1.09
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.14% | Fair line: 16.28
๐Ÿ”ด Telstar Women – Winning probability: 1.92% | Fair line: 52.11
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Fortuna Sittard Women
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fortuna Sittard Women x Telstar Women right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fortuna Sittard Women x Telstar Women

Should you bet on Fortuna Sittard Women?

๐Ÿ”ต Fortuna Sittard Women: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 91.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 920 times – profiting $184.00;
  • And would have lost other 80 times – with a loss of -$80.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$104.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $306.00
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$634.00.

Is it worth betting on Telstar Women?

๐Ÿ”ด Telstar Women: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 11.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $215.00
  • And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$765.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Fortuna Sittard Women x Telstar Women

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Fortuna Sittard Women
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fortuna Sittard Women x Telstar Women

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Fortuna Sittard Women and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.0 Fortuna Sittard Women.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.0 Telstar Women.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fortuna Sittard Women x Telstar Women

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves