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Home » Predictions » Others » Francs Borains x Club Brugge II Betting tips for December 1 in Belgium First Division B
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 18h15 Belgium First Division B
Francs Borains Francs Borains
PREDICTION Francs Borains wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Club Brugge II Club Brugge II
ODD: @1.9 Don't miss this prediction!

Francs Borains x Club Brugge II Betting tips for December 1 in Belgium First Division B

Our betting tip for Francs Borains x Club Brugge II, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
18:15
Francs Borains Francs Borains
1.90
X
3.50
Club Brugge II Club Brugge II
3.55

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Francs Borains x Club Brugge II:

🔮 Francs Borains wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Francs Borains, you can win up to $950.00!

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The main points for the tip for Francs Borains x Club Brugge II:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Francs Borains in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Brugge II in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Club Brugge II scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Francs Borains conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Club Brugge II conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Francs Borains as home team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Francs Borains x Club Brugge II for the Belgium First Division B – 1 of December

🏟️ Francs Borains X Club Brugge II – Belgium First Division B
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 18:15
🔵 Francs Borains – Winning probability: 51.08% | Fair line: 1.96
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.20% | Fair line: 4.13
🔴 Club Brugge II – Winning probability: 24.72% | Fair line: 4.05
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Francs Borains
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Francs Borains x Club Brugge II is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Francs Borains x Club Brugge II

Is it worth betting on Francs Borains?

🔵 Francs Borains: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $459.00
  • And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$31.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $600.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Club Brugge II?

🔴 Club Brugge II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $637.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$112.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Francs Borains x Club Brugge II

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Francs Borains
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Francs Borains x Club Brugge II

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Francs Borains, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Francs Borains.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Francs Borains x Club Brugge II

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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