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Home » Predictions » Others » Fraserburgh x Annan Athletic Betting tips for November 30 in Scotland FA Cup
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 Scotland FA Cup
Fraserburgh Fraserburgh
PREDICTION Annan Athletic Wins Probability 68% 1 X 2
Annan Athletic Annan Athletic
ODD: @1.53 Don't miss this prediction!

Fraserburgh x Annan Athletic Betting tips for November 30 in Scotland FA Cup

Our betting tip for Fraserburgh x Annan Athletic, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
15:00
Fraserburgh Fraserburgh
5.25
X
4.00
Annan Athletic Annan Athletic
1.53

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Fraserburgh x Annan Athletic:

🔮 Annan Athletic wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Annan Athletic, you can win up to $765.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Fraserburgh x Annan Athletic:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Annan Athletic in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Fraserburgh scored at least 1.0 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Annan Athletic conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Fraserburgh is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Annan Athletic as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Fraserburgh x Annan Athletic?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Fraserburgh x Annan Athletic:

Analysis from Fraserburgh x Annan Athletic for the Scotland FA Cup – 30 of November

🏟️ Fraserburgh X Annan Athletic – Scotland FA Cup
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Fraserburgh – Winning probability: 19.07% | Fair line: 5.24
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.68% | Fair line: 7.89
🔴 Annan Athletic – Winning probability: 68.25% | Fair line: 1.47
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Fraserburgh
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fraserburgh x Annan Athletic right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Fraserburgh x Annan Athletic

Should you bet on Fraserburgh?

🔵 Fraserburgh: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $807.50;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$2.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $390.00
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$480.00.

Should you bet on Annan Athletic?

🔴 Annan Athletic: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.53. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 680 times – this would give you a profit of $360.40
  • And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$40.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Fraserburgh x Annan Athletic

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Fraserburgh
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fraserburgh x Annan Athletic

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Fraserburgh, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Fraserburgh.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -1.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Fraserburgh.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fraserburgh x Annan Athletic

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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