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Home » Predictions » Others » Frosinone x Spezia Betting tips for December 20 in Italy Serie B
Saturday, 20 December 2025, 14h00 Italy Serie B
Frosinone Frosinone
PREDICTION No tip
Spezia Spezia
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Frosinone x Spezia Betting tips for December 20 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Frosinone x Spezia, Saturday, 20/12/2025
📅 20/12/2025
14:00
Frosinone Frosinone
2.05
X
3.30
Spezia Spezia
3.47

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Frosinone x Spezia:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Frosinone x Spezia

The main points for the tip for Frosinone x Spezia:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Frosinone in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $190.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Spezia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $60.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Frosinone scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Frosinone matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Frosinone conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Spezia.

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Summary

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Analysis from Frosinone x Spezia for the Italy Serie B – 20 of December

🏟️ Frosinone X Spezia – Italy Serie B
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 Frosinone – Winning probability: 49.16% | Fair line: 2.03
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.24% | Fair line: 4.13
🔴 Spezia – Winning probability: 26.60% | Fair line: 3.76
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Frosinone
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Frosinone x Spezia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1454870 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Frosinone x Spezia

Is betting on Frosinone worth it?

🔵 Frosinone: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 49.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – profiting $514.50;
  • And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$4.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $552.00
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$208.00.

Is betting on Spezia worth it?

🔴 Spezia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.47. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $666.90
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$63.10. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Frosinone x Spezia

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Frosinone
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Frosinone x Spezia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Frosinone and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Frosinone. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Frosinone x Spezia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves