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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» FSV Budissa Bautzen x Ludwigsfelder FC Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Oberliga NOFV Sud
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Oberliga NOFV Sud
FSV Budissa Bautzen FSV Budissa Bautzen
PREDICTION No tip
Ludwigsfelder FC Ludwigsfelder FC
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FSV Budissa Bautzen x Ludwigsfelder FC Betting tips for November 25 in Germany Oberliga NOFV Sud

Our betting tip for FSV Budissa Bautzen x Ludwigsfelder FC, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
12:00
FSV Budissa Bautzen FSV Budissa Bautzen
1.75
X
3.98
Ludwigsfelder FC Ludwigsfelder FC
3.63

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FSV Budissa Bautzen x Ludwigsfelder FC:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for FSV Budissa Bautzen x Ludwigsfelder FC

Some important points for the tip for FSV Budissa Bautzen x Ludwigsfelder FC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FSV Budissa Bautzen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ludwigsfelder FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $180.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, FSV Budissa Bautzen conceded at least 1 goal(s).

πŸ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for FSV Budissa Bautzen x Ludwigsfelder FC

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Summary

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Analysis from FSV Budissa Bautzen x Ludwigsfelder FC for the Germany Oberliga NOFV Sud – 25 of November

🏟️ FSV Budissa Bautzen X Ludwigsfelder FC – Germany Oberliga NOFV Sud
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ FSV Budissa Bautzen – Winning probability: 53.73% | Fair line: 1.86
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.08% | Fair line: 3.83
πŸ”΄ Ludwigsfelder FC – Winning probability: 20.19% | Fair line: 4.95
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FSV Budissa Bautzen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FSV Budissa Bautzen x Ludwigsfelder FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FSV Budissa Bautzen x Ludwigsfelder FC

Should you bet on FSV Budissa Bautzen?

πŸ”΅ FSV Budissa Bautzen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $405.00;
  • And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$55.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $774.80;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$34.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ludwigsfelder FC?

πŸ”΄ Ludwigsfelder FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.63. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $526.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$274.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FSV Budissa Bautzen x Ludwigsfelder FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FSV Budissa Bautzen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FSV Budissa Bautzen x Ludwigsfelder FC

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 FSV Budissa Bautzen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 FSV Budissa Bautzen.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Ludwigsfelder FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FSV Budissa Bautzen x Ludwigsfelder FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves