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Home » Predictions » Others » Fulham x Watford Betting tips for January 9 in England FA Cup
Thursday, 09 January 2025, 19h45 England FA Cup
Fulham Fulham
PREDICTION Fulham wins Probability 93% 1 X 2
Watford Watford
ODD: @1.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Fulham x Watford Betting tips for January 9 in England FA Cup

Our betting tip for Fulham x Watford, Thursday, 9/1/2025
📅 9/1/2025
19:45
Fulham Fulham
1.30
X
5.25
Watford Watford
8.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Fulham x Watford:

🔮 Fulham wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fulham, you can win up to $650.00!

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The main points for the tip for Fulham x Watford:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Fulham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Watford in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Watford scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Watford conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Fulham x Watford for the England FA Cup – 9 of January

🏟️ Fulham X Watford – England FA Cup
📅 9 of January, 2025 – 19:45
🔵 Fulham – Winning probability: 93.84% | Fair line: 1.07
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.54% | Fair line: 28.22
🔴 Watford – Winning probability: 2.62% | Fair line: 38.24
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Fulham
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Fulham and Watford.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1243916 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fulham x Watford

Is betting on Fulham worth it?

🔵 Fulham: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 93.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 940 times – this would give you a profit of $282.00
  • And would have lost other 60 times – with a loss of -$60.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$222.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $170.00;
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$790.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Watford?

🔴 Watford: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $225.00;
  • And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$745.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Fulham x Watford

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Fulham
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fulham x Watford

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Fulham and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Fulham.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Fulham.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fulham x Watford

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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