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Home » Predictions » Galatasaray x Samsunspor Betting tips for November 10 in Turkey Super Lig
Sunday, 10 November 2024, 13h00 Turkey Super Lig
Galatasaray Galatasaray
PREDICTION Galatasaray wins Probability 85% 1 X 2
Samsunspor Samsunspor
ODD: @1.41 Don't miss this prediction!

Galatasaray x Samsunspor Betting tips for November 10 in Turkey Super Lig

Our betting tip for Galatasaray x Samsunspor, Sunday, 10/11/2024
📅 10/11/2024
13:00
Galatasaray Galatasaray
1.41
X
4.72
Samsunspor Samsunspor
6.45

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Galatasaray x Samsunspor:

🔮 Galatasaray wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Galatasaray, you can win up to $705.00!

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The main points for the tip for Galatasaray x Samsunspor:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Galatasaray in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $180.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Samsunspor in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $500.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Galatasaray scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Galatasaray matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Galatasaray conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Galatasaray is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Samsunspor has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Galatasaray x Samsunspor?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Galatasaray x Samsunspor, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Galatasaray x Samsunspor for the Turkey Super Lig – 10 of November

🏟️ Galatasaray X Samsunspor – Turkey Super Lig
📅 10 of November, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Galatasaray – Winning probability: 85.06% | Fair line: 1.18
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.46% | Fair line: 9.56
🔴 Samsunspor – Winning probability: 4.47% | Fair line: 22.35
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Galatasaray
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Galatasaray x Samsunspor is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1218874 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Galatasaray x Samsunspor

Should you bet on Galatasaray?

🔵 Galatasaray: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 85.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.41. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 850 times – having a profit of $348.50;
  • And would have lost other 150 times – with a loss of -$150.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$198.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $372.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$528.00.

Should you bet on Samsunspor?

🔴 Samsunspor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $218.00
  • And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$742.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Galatasaray x Samsunspor

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Galatasaray
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Galatasaray x Samsunspor

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Galatasaray and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Galatasaray.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Samsunspor.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Galatasaray x Samsunspor

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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