Gandzasar Kapan x FC Urartu Betting tips for November 28 in Armenia Premier League

Our betting tip for Gandzasar Kapan x FC Urartu, Thursday, 28/11/2024

📅 28/11/2024 10:00

Gandzasar Kapan 11.41

X 6.50

FC Urartu 1.16

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Gandzasar Kapan x FC Urartu:

🔮 FC Urartu wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Urartu, you can win up to $580.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Gandzasar Kapan x FC Urartu: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gandzasar Kapan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Urartu in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-164.0. 👉 Gandzasar Kapan did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, FC Urartu scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 FC Urartu matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Gandzasar Kapan conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, FC Urartu conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Gandzasar Kapan conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against FC Urartu. 👉 It is not a good time for Gandzasar Kapan as home team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Analysis from Gandzasar Kapan x FC Urartu for the Armenia Premier League – 28 of November

When the best bet on Gandzasar Kapan x FC Urartu is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229024 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gandzasar Kapan x FC Urartu

Is it a good idea to bet on Gandzasar Kapan?

🔵 Gandzasar Kapan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 11.41. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
• And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $110.00;
• And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$870.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Urartu?

🔴 FC Urartu: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 98.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 980 times – having a profit of $156.80;
• And would have lost other 20 times – with a loss of -$20.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$136.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Gandzasar Kapan x FC Urartu

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.5 Gandzasar Kapan
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gandzasar Kapan x FC Urartu

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +2.5 Gandzasar Kapan, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +2.0 Gandzasar Kapan.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.0 FC Urartu.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gandzasar Kapan x FC Urartu

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.