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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Gateshead x Rochdale Betting tips for November 26 in England National League
Tuesday, 26 November 2024, 19h45 England National League
Gateshead Gateshead
PREDICTION No tip
Rochdale Rochdale
Don't miss this prediction!

Gateshead x Rochdale Betting tips for November 26 in England National League

Our betting tip for Gateshead x Rochdale, Tuesday, 26/11/2024
πŸ“… 26/11/2024
19:45
Gateshead Gateshead
1.85
X
3.50
Rochdale Rochdale
3.66

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Gateshead x Rochdale:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Gateshead x Rochdale

Some important points for the tip for Gateshead x Rochdale:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Gateshead in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-189.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Rochdale in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-75.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Gateshead scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Rochdale conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Gateshead x Rochdale?

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Analysis from Gateshead x Rochdale for the England National League – 26 of November

🏟️ Gateshead X Rochdale – England National League
πŸ“… 26 of November, 2024 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ Gateshead – Winning probability: 50.42% | Fair line: 1.98
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.73% | Fair line: 4.4
πŸ”΄ Rochdale – Winning probability: 26.86% | Fair line: 3.72
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Gateshead
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Gateshead x Rochdale right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1227868 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gateshead x Rochdale

Is betting on Gateshead worth it?

πŸ”΅ Gateshead: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $425.00
  • And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$75.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $575.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$195.00.

Is betting on Rochdale worth it?

πŸ”΄ Rochdale: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.66. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $718.20;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$11.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gateshead x Rochdale

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Gateshead
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gateshead x Rochdale

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Gateshead and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Gateshead.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gateshead x Rochdale

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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