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Home » Predictions » Others » GD Fontinhas x Sertanense Betting tips for February 28 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Wednesday, 28 February 2024, 19h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
GD Fontinhas GD Fontinhas
PREDICTION No tip
Sertanense Sertanense
Don't miss this prediction!

GD Fontinhas x Sertanense Betting tips for February 28 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for GD Fontinhas x Sertanense, Wednesday, 28/2/2024
📅 28/2/2024
19:00
GD Fontinhas GD Fontinhas
3.10
X
2.80
Sertanense Sertanense
2.30

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for GD Fontinhas x Sertanense:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for GD Fontinhas x Sertanense

Some important points for the tip for GD Fontinhas x Sertanense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on GD Fontinhas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $90.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sertanense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, GD Fontinhas scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between GD Fontinhas x Sertanense, with GD Fontinhas as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Sertanense conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Sertanense as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on GD Fontinhas x Sertanense?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on GD Fontinhas x Sertanense, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from GD Fontinhas x Sertanense for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 28 of February

🏟️ GD Fontinhas X Sertanense – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
📅 28 of February, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 GD Fontinhas – Winning probability: 24.74% | Fair line: 4.04
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.65% | Fair line: 3.62
🔴 Sertanense – Winning probability: 47.61% | Fair line: 2.1
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 GD Fontinhas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on GD Fontinhas x Sertanense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1066981 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for GD Fontinhas x Sertanense

Is it worth betting on GD Fontinhas?

🔵 GD Fontinhas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $525.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$225.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $504.00;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$216.00.

Is betting on Sertanense worth it?

🔴 Sertanense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – profiting $624.00;
  • And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$104.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match GD Fontinhas x Sertanense

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 GD Fontinhas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for GD Fontinhas x Sertanense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 GD Fontinhas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 GD Fontinhas.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 GD Fontinhas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for GD Fontinhas x Sertanense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves