Genk x Union Saint Gilloise Betting tips for March 15 in Belgium First Division A

Our betting tip for Genk x Union Saint Gilloise, Saturday, 15/3/2025

📅 15/3/2025 19:45

Genk 2.55

X 3.40

Union Saint Gilloise 2.59

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Genk x Union Saint Gilloise:

🔮 Genk wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Genk, you can win up to $1275.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Genk x Union Saint Gilloise: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Genk in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-66.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Saint Gilloise in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $358.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Union Saint Gilloise scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Genk x Union Saint Gilloise, with Genk as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Union Saint Gilloise is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Analysis from Genk x Union Saint Gilloise for the Belgium First Division A – 15 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Genk x Union Saint Gilloise right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1281364 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Genk x Union Saint Gilloise

Should you bet on Genk?

🔵 Genk: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $635.50;
• And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$45.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$116.00.

Is betting on Union Saint Gilloise worth it?

🔴 Union Saint Gilloise: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.59. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $524.70
• And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$145.30.

Handicaps analysis for the match Genk x Union Saint Gilloise

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Genk
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Genk x Union Saint Gilloise

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Genk and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Genk.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Genk.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Genk x Union Saint Gilloise

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.