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Home Β» Predictions Β» Genoa U20 x Inter Milan U20 Betting tips for November 30 in Italy Campionato Primavera 1
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 12h00 Italy Campionato Primavera 1
Genoa U20 Genoa U20
PREDICTION No tip
Inter Milan U20 Inter Milan U20
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Genoa U20 x Inter Milan U20 Betting tips for November 30 in Italy Campionato Primavera 1

Our betting tip for Genoa U20 x Inter Milan U20, Saturday, 30/11/2024
πŸ“… 30/11/2024
12:00
Genoa U20 Genoa U20
3.50
X
3.54
Inter Milan U20 Inter Milan U20
1.88

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Genoa U20 x Inter Milan U20:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Genoa U20 x Inter Milan U20

Some important points for the tip for Genoa U20 x Inter Milan U20:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Genoa U20 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Inter Milan U20 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $214.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Genoa U20 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Genoa U20 conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Inter Milan U20.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, Inter Milan U20 has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Genoa U20 x Inter Milan U20 for the Italy Campionato Primavera 1 – 30 of November

🏟️ Genoa U20 X Inter Milan U20 – Italy Campionato Primavera 1
πŸ“… 30 of November, 2024 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ Genoa U20 – Winning probability: 17.31% | Fair line: 5.78
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.46% | Fair line: 5.14
πŸ”΄ Inter Milan U20 – Winning probability: 63.23% | Fair line: 1.58
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Genoa U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Genoa U20 x Inter Milan U20 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Genoa U20 x Inter Milan U20

Is it worth betting on Genoa U20?

πŸ”΅ Genoa U20: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $425.00;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$405.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.54. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $482.60;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$327.40.

Should you bet on Inter Milan U20?

πŸ”΄ Inter Milan U20: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 63.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $554.40;
  • And would lose other 370 times – losing -$370.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$184.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Genoa U20 x Inter Milan U20

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Genoa U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Genoa U20 x Inter Milan U20

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Genoa U20 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Genoa U20.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Inter Milan U20.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Genoa U20 x Inter Milan U20

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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