GIANA Erminio x US Pergolettese Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie C Group A

Our betting tip for GIANA Erminio x US Pergolettese, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 16:30

GIANA Erminio 2.15

X 3.10

US Pergolettese 3.15

Our algorithm has selected this tip for GIANA Erminio x US Pergolettese:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for GIANA Erminio x US Pergolettese

The main points for the tip for GIANA Erminio x US Pergolettese: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Giana Erminio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-75.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on US Pergolettese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $130.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, US Pergolettese scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Giana Erminio x US Pergolettese, with Giana Erminio as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, US Pergolettese has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from GIANA Erminio x US Pergolettese for the Italy Serie C Group A – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for GIANA Erminio x US Pergolettese right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for GIANA Erminio x US Pergolettese

Is betting on GIANA Erminio worth it?

🔵 GIANA Erminio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $506.00;
• And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$54.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $630.00
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$70.00.

Is betting on US Pergolettese worth it?

🔴 US Pergolettese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $537.50;
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$212.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match GIANA Erminio x US Pergolettese

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 GIANA Erminio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for GIANA Erminio x US Pergolettese

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 GIANA Erminio and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 GIANA Erminio. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for GIANA Erminio x US Pergolettese

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.