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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Gil Vicente U19 x Braga U19 Betting tips for November 25 in Portugal U19 League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Portugal U19 League
Gil Vicente U19 Gil Vicente U19
PREDICTION No tip
Braga U19 Braga U19
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Gil Vicente U19 x Braga U19 Betting tips for November 25 in Portugal U19 League

Our betting tip for Gil Vicente U19 x Braga U19, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Gil Vicente U19 Gil Vicente U19
2.97
X
3.30
Braga U19 Braga U19
2.13

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Gil Vicente U19 x Braga U19:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Gil Vicente U19 x Braga U19

Some important points for the tip for Gil Vicente U19 x Braga U19:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Gil Vicente U19 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Braga U19 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-186.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Gil Vicente U19 scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Gil Vicente U19 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Gil Vicente U19 conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Braga U19.

πŸ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Gil Vicente U19 x Braga U19

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Summary

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Analysis from Gil Vicente U19 x Braga U19 for the Portugal U19 League – 25 of November

🏟️ Gil Vicente U19 X Braga U19 – Portugal U19 League
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Gil Vicente U19 – Winning probability: 19.61% | Fair line: 5.1
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.92% | Fair line: 3.46
πŸ”΄ Braga U19 – Winning probability: 51.47% | Fair line: 1.94
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Gil Vicente U19
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Gil Vicente U19 x Braga U19 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Gil Vicente U19 x Braga U19

Should you bet on Gil Vicente U19?

πŸ”΅ Gil Vicente U19: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.97. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $394.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$406.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $667.00
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$43.00.

Should you bet on Braga U19?

πŸ”΄ Braga U19: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.13. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $576.30;
  • And would have lost other 490 times – with a loss of -$490.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$86.30.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Gil Vicente U19 x Braga U19

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Gil Vicente U19
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gil Vicente U19 x Braga U19

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Gil Vicente U19, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Gil Vicente U19.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Braga U19.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gil Vicente U19 x Braga U19

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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