Gimcheon Sangmu FC x Suwon FC Betting tips for November 2 in South Korea K League 1

Our betting tip for Gimcheon Sangmu FC x Suwon FC, Saturday, 2/11/2024

📅 2/11/2024 07:30

Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.94

X 3.50

Suwon FC 3.53

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Gimcheon Sangmu FC x Suwon FC:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Gimcheon Sangmu FC x Suwon FC

Some important points for the tip for Gimcheon Sangmu FC x Suwon FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gimcheon Sangmu FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-100.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Suwon FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-125.0. 👉 Gimcheon Sangmu FC did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 3 Gimcheon Sangmu FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Suwon FC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Suwon FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Gimcheon Sangmu FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Suwon FC.

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Analysis from Gimcheon Sangmu FC x Suwon FC for the South Korea K League 1 – 2 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Gimcheon Sangmu FC x Suwon FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213888 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Gimcheon Sangmu FC x Suwon FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Gimcheon Sangmu FC?

🔵 Gimcheon Sangmu FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.94. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $479.40
• And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$10.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $675.00;
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$55.00.

Is it worth betting on Suwon FC?

🔴 Suwon FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.53. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $581.90
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$188.10.

Handicaps analysis for the match Gimcheon Sangmu FC x Suwon FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gimcheon Sangmu FC x Suwon FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Gimcheon Sangmu FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Gimcheon Sangmu FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Suwon FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gimcheon Sangmu FC x Suwon FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.