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Home » Predictions » Others » Gimnasia LP x Newells Betting tips for November 9 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Saturday, 09 November 2024, 20h00 Argentina Liga Profesional
Gimnasia LP Gimnasia LP
PREDICTION Gimnasia LP wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
Newells Newells
ODD: @2.14 Don't miss this prediction!

Gimnasia LP x Newells Betting tips for November 9 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Gimnasia LP x Newells, Saturday, 9/11/2024
📅 9/11/2024
20:00
Gimnasia LP Gimnasia LP
2.14
X
2.95
Newells Newells
3.70

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Gimnasia LP x Newells:

🔮 Gimnasia LP wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gimnasia LP, you can win up to $1070.00!

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Important information for your tip for Gimnasia LP x Newells:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Gimnasia LP in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Newells in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Newells, Gimnasia LP scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Newells conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Gimnasia LP has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Newells.

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Summary

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Analysis from Gimnasia LP x Newells for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 9 of November

🏟️ Gimnasia LP X Newells – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 9 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Gimnasia LP – Winning probability: 50.50% | Fair line: 1.98
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.36% | Fair line: 3.09
🔴 Newells – Winning probability: 17.15% | Fair line: 5.83
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Gimnasia LP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Gimnasia LP and Newells.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1218440 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gimnasia LP x Newells

Is it a good idea to bet on Gimnasia LP?

🔵 Gimnasia LP: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.14. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – profiting $570.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$70.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$56.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Newells?

🔴 Newells: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $459.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$371.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gimnasia LP x Newells

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Gimnasia LP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gimnasia LP x Newells

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Gimnasia LP, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Gimnasia LP.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gimnasia LP x Newells

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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