Gimnastic x Cultural Leonesa Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Gimnastic x Cultural Leonesa, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 18:30

Gimnastic 2.25

X 2.90

Cultural Leonesa 3.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Gimnastic x Cultural Leonesa:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Gimnastic x Cultural Leonesa

The main points for the tip for Gimnastic x Cultural Leonesa: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gimnastic in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $178.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cultural Leonesa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $186.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Gimnastic scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Cultural Leonesa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Cultural Leonesa has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Gimnastic x Cultural Leonesa for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Gimnastic x Cultural Leonesa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Gimnastic x Cultural Leonesa

Is it worth betting on Gimnastic?

🔵 Gimnastic: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – profiting $462.50;
• And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$167.50.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $589.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$101.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Cultural Leonesa?

🔴 Cultural Leonesa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $640.00;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$40.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Gimnastic x Cultural Leonesa

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Gimnastic
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gimnastic x Cultural Leonesa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Gimnastic, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Gimnastic.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gimnastic x Cultural Leonesa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.