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Home » Predictions » Others » Gimnastica Segoviana x UD Ourense Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 11h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
Gimnastica Segoviana Gimnastica Segoviana
PREDICTION Gimnastica Segoviana wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
UD Ourense UD Ourense
ODD: @1.78
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Gimnastica Segoviana x UD Ourense Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Gimnastica Segoviana x UD Ourense, Sunday, 14/12/2025
📅 14/12/2025
11:00
Gimnastica Segoviana Gimnastica Segoviana
1.78
X
3.05
UD Ourense UD Ourense
4.44

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Gimnastica Segoviana x UD Ourense:

🔮 Gimnastica Segoviana wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gimnastica Segoviana, you can win up to $890.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Gimnastica Segoviana x UD Ourense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Gimnastica Segoviana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $31.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Ourense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $455.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, UD Ourense scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Gimnastica Segoviana matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 UD Ourense matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, UD Ourense has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Gimnastica Segoviana x UD Ourense for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 – 14 of December

🏟️ Gimnastica Segoviana X UD Ourense – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Gimnastica Segoviana – Winning probability: 56.78% | Fair line: 1.76
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.35% | Fair line: 3.66
🔴 UD Ourense – Winning probability: 15.87% | Fair line: 6.3
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Gimnastica Segoviana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Gimnastica Segoviana and UD Ourense.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gimnastica Segoviana x UD Ourense

Is it a good idea to bet on Gimnastica Segoviana?

🔵 Gimnastica Segoviana: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – profiting $444.60;
  • And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$14.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $553.50;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$176.50.

Is it worth betting on UD Ourense?

🔴 UD Ourense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $550.40
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$289.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gimnastica Segoviana x UD Ourense

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Gimnastica Segoviana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gimnastica Segoviana x UD Ourense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Gimnastica Segoviana and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Gimnastica Segoviana.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gimnastica Segoviana x UD Ourense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves