Girona x Espanyol Betting tips for November 23 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Girona x Espanyol, Saturday, 23/11/2024

📅 23/11/2024 17:30

Girona 1.52

X 4.20

Espanyol 5.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Girona x Espanyol:

🔮 Girona wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Girona, you can win up to $760.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Girona x Espanyol: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Girona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $17.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Espanyol in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-399.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Espanyol scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Espanyol, Girona scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Espanyol matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Girona x Espanyol?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Girona x Espanyol:

Analysis from Girona x Espanyol for the Spain La Liga – 23 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Girona x Espanyol right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1225516 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Girona x Espanyol

Is it a good idea to bet on Girona?

🔵 Girona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 73.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 740 times – this would give you a profit of $384.80
• And would lose other 260 times – losing -$260.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$124.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $512.00;
• And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$328.00.

Is betting on Espanyol worth it?

🔴 Espanyol: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 110 times – profiting $539.00;
• And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$351.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Girona x Espanyol

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Girona
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Girona x Espanyol

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Girona, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Girona.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Espanyol.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Girona x Espanyol

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.