Girona x Valencia Betting tips for March 15 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Girona x Valencia, Saturday, 15/3/2025

📅 15/3/2025 20:00

Girona 1.99

X 3.40

Valencia 3.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Girona x Valencia:

🔮 Valencia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Valencia, you can win up to $1900.00!

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The main points for the tip for Girona x Valencia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Girona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-352.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Valencia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-345.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Girona scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Valencia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Valencia, Girona scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Girona matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Girona conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Valencia conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Girona x Valencia?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Girona x Valencia for the Spain La Liga – 15 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Girona x Valencia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Girona x Valencia

Should you bet on Girona?

🔵 Girona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.99. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $455.40;
• And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$84.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $408.00;
• And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$422.00.

Is it worth betting on Valencia?

🔴 Valencia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $1036.00
• And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$406.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Girona x Valencia

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Girona
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Girona x Valencia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Girona, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Girona.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Valencia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Girona x Valencia

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.