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Home » Predictions » Others » Girona x Valladolid Betting tips for December 20 in Spain La Liga
Friday, 20 December 2024, 20h00 Spain La Liga
Girona Girona
PREDICTION Girona wins Probability 84% 1 X 2
Valladolid Valladolid
ODD: @1.41 Don't miss this prediction!

Girona x Valladolid Betting tips for December 20 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Girona x Valladolid, Friday, 20/12/2024
📅 20/12/2024
20:00
Girona Girona
1.41
X
4.68
Valladolid Valladolid
7.10

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Girona x Valladolid:

🔮 Girona wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Girona, you can win up to $705.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Girona x Valladolid:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Girona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-56.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Valladolid in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-242.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Girona conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Valladolid conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Girona has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Valladolid playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Girona x Valladolid for the Spain La Liga – 20 of December

🏟️ Girona X Valladolid – Spain La Liga
📅 20 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Girona – Winning probability: 84.44% | Fair line: 1.18
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.96% | Fair line: 10.04
🔴 Valladolid – Winning probability: 5.60% | Fair line: 17.85
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Girona
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Girona and Valladolid.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1238688 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Girona x Valladolid

Is it a good idea to bet on Girona?

🔵 Girona: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 84.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.41. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 840 times – this would give you a profit of $344.40
  • And would have lost other 160 times – with a loss of -$160.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$184.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $368.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$532.00.

Should you bet on Valladolid?

🔴 Valladolid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $366.00
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$574.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Girona x Valladolid

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Girona
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Girona x Valladolid

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Girona and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Girona.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Girona.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Girona x Valladolid

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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