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Home » Predictions » Others » Giugliano x Avellino Betting tips for November 26 in Italy Serie C Cup
Tuesday, 26 November 2024, 17h30 Italy Serie C Cup
Giugliano Giugliano
PREDICTION Avellino Wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
Avellino Avellino
ODD: @2.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Giugliano x Avellino Betting tips for November 26 in Italy Serie C Cup

Our betting tip for Giugliano x Avellino, Tuesday, 26/11/2024
📅 26/11/2024
17:30
Giugliano Giugliano
2.63
X
3.00
Avellino Avellino
2.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Giugliano x Avellino:

🔮 Avellino wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Avellino, you can win up to $1250.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Giugliano x Avellino:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Giugliano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $45.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Avellino in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $232.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Giugliano scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Giugliano matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Giugliano conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Avellino has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Giugliano x Avellino?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Giugliano x Avellino, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Giugliano x Avellino for the Italy Serie C Cup – 26 of November

🏟️ Giugliano X Avellino – Italy Serie C Cup
📅 26 of November, 2024 – 17:30
🔵 Giugliano – Winning probability: 20.03% | Fair line: 4.99
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.54% | Fair line: 6.04
🔴 Avellino – Winning probability: 63.42% | Fair line: 1.58
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Giugliano
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Giugliano x Avellino right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1227868 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Giugliano x Avellino

Is it a good idea to bet on Giugliano?

🔵 Giugliano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.63. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $326.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$474.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $340.00
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$490.00.

Is it worth betting on Avellino?

🔴 Avellino: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – profiting $945.00;
  • And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$575.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Giugliano x Avellino

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Giugliano
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Giugliano x Avellino

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Giugliano, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Giugliano.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Giugliano x Avellino

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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