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Home » Predictions » Others » Godoy Cruz x Velez Sarsfield Betting tips for November 24 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Sunday, 24 November 2024, 22h15 Argentina Liga Profesional
Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz
PREDICTION Velez Sarsfield Wins Probability 52% 1 X 2
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
ODD: @2.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Godoy Cruz x Velez Sarsfield Betting tips for November 24 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Godoy Cruz x Velez Sarsfield, Sunday, 24/11/2024
📅 24/11/2024
22:15
Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz
3.10
X
3.05
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
2.30

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Godoy Cruz x Velez Sarsfield:

🔮 Velez Sarsfield wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Velez Sarsfield, you can win up to $1150.00!

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The main points for the tip for Godoy Cruz x Velez Sarsfield:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Godoy Cruz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Velez Sarsfield in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-260.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Velez Sarsfield scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Godoy Cruz matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Velez Sarsfield matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Velez Sarsfield conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Velez Sarsfield has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Godoy Cruz x Velez Sarsfield for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 24 of November

🏟️ Godoy Cruz X Velez Sarsfield – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 24 of November, 2024 – 22:15
🔵 Godoy Cruz – Winning probability: 16.70% | Fair line: 5.99
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.97% | Fair line: 3.23
🔴 Velez Sarsfield – Winning probability: 52.33% | Fair line: 1.91
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Godoy Cruz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Godoy Cruz x Velez Sarsfield is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1226364 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Godoy Cruz x Velez Sarsfield

Should you bet on Godoy Cruz?

🔵 Godoy Cruz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $357.00;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$473.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $635.50
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$54.50.

Should you bet on Velez Sarsfield?

🔴 Velez Sarsfield: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $676.00
  • And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$196.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Godoy Cruz x Velez Sarsfield

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Godoy Cruz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Godoy Cruz x Velez Sarsfield

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Godoy Cruz, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Godoy Cruz.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Godoy Cruz.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Godoy Cruz x Velez Sarsfield

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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