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Home » Predictions » Others » Goias x Gremio Novorizontino Betting tips for November 24 in Brazil Serie B
Sunday, 24 November 2024, 21h30 Brazil Serie B
Goias Goias
PREDICTION Gremio Novorizontino Wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
Gremio Novorizontino Gremio Novorizontino
ODD: @2.62 Don't miss this prediction!

Goias x Gremio Novorizontino Betting tips for November 24 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Goias x Gremio Novorizontino, Sunday, 24/11/2024
📅 24/11/2024
21:30
Goias Goias
2.80
X
2.98
Gremio Novorizontino Gremio Novorizontino
2.62

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Goias x Gremio Novorizontino:

🔮 Gremio Novorizontino wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gremio Novorizontino, you can win up to $1310.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Goias x Gremio Novorizontino:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Goias in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $312.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Gremio Novorizontino in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $32.0.
👉 Goias did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Goias scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Gremio Novorizontino matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Goias is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Goias x Gremio Novorizontino?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Goias x Gremio Novorizontino, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Goias x Gremio Novorizontino for the Brazil Serie B – 24 of November

🏟️ Goias X Gremio Novorizontino – Brazil Serie B
📅 24 of November, 2024 – 21:30
🔵 Goias – Winning probability: 25.89% | Fair line: 3.86
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.31% | Fair line: 4.29
🔴 Gremio Novorizontino – Winning probability: 50.79% | Fair line: 1.97
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Goias
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Goias x Gremio Novorizontino is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1226746 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Goias x Gremio Novorizontino

Is betting on Goias worth it?

🔵 Goias: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $468.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$272.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $455.40
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$314.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Gremio Novorizontino?

🔴 Gremio Novorizontino: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $826.20
  • And would have lost other 490 times – with a loss of -$490.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$336.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Goias x Gremio Novorizontino

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Goias
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Goias x Gremio Novorizontino

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Goias and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Goias.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Gremio Novorizontino.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Goias x Gremio Novorizontino

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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