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Home » Predictions » Others » Gondomar x SC Regua Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Gondomar Gondomar
PREDICTION Gondomar wins Probability 75% 1 X 2
SC Regua SC Regua
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Gondomar x SC Regua Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Gondomar x SC Regua, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
15:00
Gondomar Gondomar
1.50
X
3.60
SC Regua SC Regua
6.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Gondomar x SC Regua:

🔮 Gondomar wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gondomar, you can win up to $750.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Gondomar x SC Regua:

👉 In the last 4 Gondomar matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 SC Regua matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 10 matches as the away team, SC Regua conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for SC Regua as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Gondomar x SC Regua?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Gondomar x SC Regua, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Gondomar x SC Regua for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 30 of November

🏟️ Gondomar X SC Regua – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Gondomar – Winning probability: 75.20% | Fair line: 1.33
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.08% | Fair line: 5.24
🔴 SC Regua – Winning probability: 5.72% | Fair line: 17.48
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Gondomar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Gondomar and SC Regua.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gondomar x SC Regua

Is it worth betting on Gondomar?

🔵 Gondomar: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 75.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 750 times – this would give you a profit of $375.00
  • And would have lost other 250 times – with a loss of -$250.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$125.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $494.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$316.00.

Is betting on SC Regua worth it?

🔴 SC Regua: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $300.00
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$640.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Gondomar x SC Regua

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Gondomar
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gondomar x SC Regua

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Gondomar, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Gondomar.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gondomar x SC Regua

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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