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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Goppinger SV x Pforzheim Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Oberliga Baden-Wuerttemberg
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Oberliga Baden-Wuerttemberg
Goppinger SV Goppinger SV
PREDICTION No tip
Pforzheim Pforzheim
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Goppinger SV x Pforzheim Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Oberliga Baden-Wuerttemberg

Our betting tip for Goppinger SV x Pforzheim, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
18:00
Goppinger SV Goppinger SV
1.70
X
4.07
Pforzheim Pforzheim
3.38

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Goppinger SV x Pforzheim:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Goppinger SV x Pforzheim

Some important points for the tip for Goppinger SV x Pforzheim:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Goppinger SV in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $4.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Pforzheim in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-370.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Goppinger SV scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Pforzheim scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Pforzheim, Goppinger SV scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Goppinger SV conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Pforzheim conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Goppinger SV has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Pforzheim playing at home.

πŸ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Goppinger SV x Pforzheim

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Summary

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Analysis from Goppinger SV x Pforzheim for the Germany Oberliga Baden-Wuerttemberg – 24 of November

🏟️ Goppinger SV X Pforzheim – Germany Oberliga Baden-Wuerttemberg
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 18:00
πŸ”΅ Goppinger SV – Winning probability: 58.09% | Fair line: 1.72
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.87% | Fair line: 5.3
πŸ”΄ Pforzheim – Winning probability: 23.04% | Fair line: 4.34
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Goppinger SV
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Goppinger SV x Pforzheim right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Goppinger SV x Pforzheim

Is betting on Goppinger SV worth it?

πŸ”΅ Goppinger SV: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 580 times – profiting $406.00;
  • And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$14.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.07. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $583.30;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$226.70.

Is betting on Pforzheim worth it?

πŸ”΄ Pforzheim: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $547.40;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$222.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Goppinger SV x Pforzheim

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Goppinger SV
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Goppinger SV x Pforzheim

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Goppinger SV and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Goppinger SV.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Goppinger SV.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Goppinger SV x Pforzheim

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves