Goppinger SV x Pforzheim Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Oberliga Baden-Wuerttemberg

Our betting tip for Goppinger SV x Pforzheim, Friday, 24/11/2023

📅 24/11/2023 18:00

Goppinger SV 1.70

X 4.07

Pforzheim 3.38

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Goppinger SV x Pforzheim:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Goppinger SV x Pforzheim

Important information for your tip for Goppinger SV x Pforzheim: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Goppinger SV in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $4.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pforzheim in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-370.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Goppinger SV scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Pforzheim scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Pforzheim, Goppinger SV scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Goppinger SV conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Pforzheim conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Goppinger SV has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Pforzheim playing at home.

📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Goppinger SV x Pforzheim

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Analysis from Goppinger SV x Pforzheim for the Germany Oberliga Baden-Wuerttemberg – 24 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Goppinger SV and Pforzheim.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Goppinger SV x Pforzheim

Should you bet on Goppinger SV?

🔵 Goppinger SV: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 58.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 580 times – profiting $406.00;
• And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$14.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.07. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $583.30;
• And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$226.70.

Should you bet on Pforzheim?

🔴 Pforzheim: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $547.40;
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$222.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Goppinger SV x Pforzheim

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Goppinger SV
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Goppinger SV x Pforzheim

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Goppinger SV, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Goppinger SV.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Goppinger SV x Pforzheim

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.