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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Gosport Borough x AFC Totton Betting tips for December 11 in England Southern Premier League South
Wednesday, 11 December 2024, 19h45 England Southern Premier League South
Gosport Borough Gosport Borough
PREDICTION No tip
AFC Totton AFC Totton
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Gosport Borough x AFC Totton Betting tips for December 11 in England Southern Premier League South

Our betting tip for Gosport Borough x AFC Totton, Wednesday, 11/12/2024
πŸ“… 11/12/2024
19:45
Gosport Borough Gosport Borough
2.83
X
3.45
AFC Totton AFC Totton
2.16

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Gosport Borough x AFC Totton:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Gosport Borough x AFC Totton

Some important points for the tip for Gosport Borough x AFC Totton:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Gosport Borough in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $10.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AFC Totton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-3.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, AFC Totton scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, AFC Totton has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Gosport Borough x AFC Totton for the England Southern Premier League South – 11 of December

🏟️ Gosport Borough X AFC Totton – England Southern Premier League South
πŸ“… 11 of December, 2024 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ Gosport Borough – Winning probability: 24.95% | Fair line: 4.01
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.24% | Fair line: 3.42
πŸ”΄ AFC Totton – Winning probability: 45.81% | Fair line: 2.18
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Gosport Borough
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Gosport Borough and AFC Totton.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1235636 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Gosport Borough x AFC Totton

Is it a good idea to bet on Gosport Borough?

πŸ”΅ Gosport Borough: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $457.50
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$292.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $710.50
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$0.50.

Is it worth betting on AFC Totton?

πŸ”΄ AFC Totton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $533.60;
  • And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$6.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gosport Borough x AFC Totton

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Gosport Borough
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gosport Borough x AFC Totton

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Gosport Borough, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Gosport Borough.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 AFC Totton.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gosport Borough x AFC Totton

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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