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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Gosport Borough x Dorchester Betting tips for November 13 in England Southern Premier League South
Wednesday, 13 November 2024, 19h45 England Southern Premier League South
Gosport Borough Gosport Borough
PREDICTION No tip
Dorchester Dorchester
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Gosport Borough x Dorchester Betting tips for November 13 in England Southern Premier League South

Our betting tip for Gosport Borough x Dorchester, Wednesday, 13/11/2024
πŸ“… 13/11/2024
19:45
Gosport Borough Gosport Borough
2.20
X
3.48
Dorchester Dorchester
2.72

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Gosport Borough x Dorchester:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Gosport Borough x Dorchester

Important information for your tip for Gosport Borough x Dorchester:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Gosport Borough in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $77.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Dorchester in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Dorchester, Gosport Borough scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Dorchester matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Gosport Borough conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Dorchester conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Gosport Borough conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Dorchester.
πŸ‘‰ Gosport Borough has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Dorchester playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Gosport Borough x Dorchester?

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Analysis from Gosport Borough x Dorchester for the England Southern Premier League South – 13 of November

🏟️ Gosport Borough X Dorchester – England Southern Premier League South
πŸ“… 13 of November, 2024 – 19:45
πŸ”΅ Gosport Borough – Winning probability: 45.29% | Fair line: 2.21
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.63% | Fair line: 3.76
πŸ”΄ Dorchester – Winning probability: 28.08% | Fair line: 3.56
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Gosport Borough
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Gosport Borough x Dorchester is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1220960 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Gosport Borough x Dorchester

Is it a good idea to bet on Gosport Borough?

πŸ”΅ Gosport Borough: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
  • And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$10.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $669.60;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$60.40.

Is betting on Dorchester worth it?

πŸ”΄ Dorchester: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $481.60;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$238.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Gosport Borough x Dorchester

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Gosport Borough
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Gosport Borough x Dorchester

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Gosport Borough and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Gosport Borough.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Gosport Borough.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gosport Borough x Dorchester

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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