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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Gremio x Caxias RS Betting tips for January 26 in Brazil Campeonato Gaucho
Sunday, 26 January 2025, 23h30 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho
Gremio Gremio
PREDICTION Gremio wins Probability 90% 1 X 2
Caxias RS Caxias RS
ODD: @1.31 Don't miss this prediction!

Gremio x Caxias RS Betting tips for January 26 in Brazil Campeonato Gaucho

Our betting tip for Gremio x Caxias RS, Sunday, 26/1/2025
๐Ÿ“… 26/1/2025
23:30
Gremio Gremio
1.31
X
4.44
Caxias RS Caxias RS
7.61

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Gremio x Caxias RS:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Gremio wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gremio, you can win up to $655.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Gremio x Caxias RS:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Gremio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $97.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Caxias RS in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-102.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Caxias RS scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Caxias RS, Gremio scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 Gremio matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Gremio conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Gremio has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Caxias RS.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Gremio x Caxias RS:

Analysis from Gremio x Caxias RS for the Brazil Campeonato Gaucho โ€“ 26 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Gremio X Caxias RS โ€“ Brazil Campeonato Gaucho
๐Ÿ“… 26 of January, 2025 โ€“ 23:30
๐Ÿ”ต Gremio โ€“ Winning probability: 90.86% | Fair line: 1.1
โšช Tied game โ€“ Probability of tied match: 5.58% | Fair line: 17.91
๐Ÿ”ด Caxias RS โ€“ Winning probability: 3.56% | Fair line: 28.1
โš– Handicap 1ร—2: -1.5 Gremio
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Gremio x Caxias RS right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1251921 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Gremio x Caxias RS

Is betting on Gremio worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Gremio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 90.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 910 times โ€“ having a profit of $282.10;
  • And would have lost other 90 times โ€“ with a loss of -$90.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$192.10.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times โ€“ profiting $206.40;
  • And would lose other 940 times โ€“ losing -$940.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$733.60.

Is it worth betting on Caxias RS?

๐Ÿ”ด Caxias RS: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.61. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times โ€“ having a profit of $264.40;
  • And would have lost other 960 times โ€“ with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$695.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Gremio x Caxias RS

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: -1.5 Gremio
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1ร—2 market for Gremio x Caxias RS

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Gremio and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Gremio. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1ร—2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Gremio x Caxias RS

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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