Grosseto x Ghiviborgo Betting tips for December 21 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Grosseto x Ghiviborgo, Sunday, 21/12/2025

📅 21/12/2025 13:30

Grosseto 1.54

X 3.60

Ghiviborgo 5.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Grosseto x Ghiviborgo:

🔮 Grosseto wins the match
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Important information for your tip for Grosseto x Ghiviborgo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Grosseto in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $151.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ghiviborgo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-41.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Grosseto scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Ghiviborgo, Grosseto scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Grosseto x Ghiviborgo, with Grosseto as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Ghiviborgo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Grosseto conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Ghiviborgo.
👉 Grosseto has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Ghiviborgo playing at home.

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Analysis from Grosseto x Ghiviborgo for the Italy Serie D – 21 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Grosseto x Ghiviborgo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455219 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Grosseto x Ghiviborgo

Is betting on Grosseto worth it?

🔵 Grosseto: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 75.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.54. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 750 times – this would give you a profit of $405.00
• And would lose other 250 times – losing -$250.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$155.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $416.00
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$424.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ghiviborgo?

🔴 Ghiviborgo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $387.00;
• And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$523.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Grosseto x Ghiviborgo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Grosseto
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Grosseto x Ghiviborgo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Grosseto and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Grosseto.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Grosseto.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Grosseto x Ghiviborgo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.