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Home » Predictions » Others » Guabira x Real Tomayapo Betting tips for November 26 in Bolivia Clausura
Tuesday, 26 November 2024, 23h30 Bolivia Clausura
Guabira Guabira
PREDICTION Guabira wins Probability 69% 1 X 2
Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo
ODD: @1.74 Don't miss this prediction!

Guabira x Real Tomayapo Betting tips for November 26 in Bolivia Clausura

Our betting tip for Guabira x Real Tomayapo, Tuesday, 26/11/2024
📅 26/11/2024
23:30
Guabira Guabira
1.74
X
3.60
Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo
4.08

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Guabira x Real Tomayapo:

🔮 Guabira wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Guabira, you can win up to $870.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Guabira x Real Tomayapo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Guabira in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $52.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Tomayapo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Guabira scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Real Tomayapo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Real Tomayapo as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Guabira x Real Tomayapo for the Bolivia Clausura – 26 of November

🏟️ Guabira X Real Tomayapo – Bolivia Clausura
📅 26 of November, 2024 – 23:30
🔵 Guabira – Winning probability: 69.34% | Fair line: 1.44
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.73% | Fair line: 4.4
🔴 Real Tomayapo – Winning probability: 7.92% | Fair line: 12.62
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Guabira
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Guabira and Real Tomayapo.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1228745 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Guabira x Real Tomayapo

Is it a good idea to bet on Guabira?

🔵 Guabira: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 69.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 690 times – having a profit of $510.60;
  • And would have lost other 310 times – with a loss of -$310.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$200.60.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $598.00;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$172.00.

Is it worth betting on Real Tomayapo?

🔴 Real Tomayapo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $246.40
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$673.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Guabira x Real Tomayapo

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Guabira
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Guabira x Real Tomayapo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Guabira and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Guabira.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Guabira.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Guabira x Real Tomayapo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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