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Home » Predictions » Guanabara City FC x Mineiros EC Betting tips for September 30 in Brazil Matches
Monday, 30 September 2024, 19h30 Brazil Matches
Guanabara City FC Guanabara City FC
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 37% 1 X 2
Mineiros EC Mineiros EC
ODD: @3.1 Don't miss this prediction!

Guanabara City FC x Mineiros EC Betting tips for September 30 in Brazil Matches

Our betting tip for Guanabara City FC x Mineiros EC, Monday, 30/9/2024
📅 30/9/2024
19:30
Guanabara City FC Guanabara City FC
2.50
X
3.10
Mineiros EC Mineiros EC
2.52

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Guanabara City FC x Mineiros EC:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1550.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Guanabara City FC x Mineiros EC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Guanabara City FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $297.0.
👉 In the last 11 matches as the home team, Guanabara City FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Mineiros EC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Mineiros EC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Guanabara City FC x Mineiros EC for the Brazil Matches – 30 of September

🏟️ Guanabara City FC X Mineiros EC – Brazil Matches
📅 30 of September, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 Guanabara City FC – Winning probability: 31.66% | Fair line: 3.16
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 37.50% | Fair line: 2.67
🔴 Mineiros EC – Winning probability: 30.84% | Fair line: 3.24
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Guanabara City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Guanabara City FC and Mineiros EC.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1192575 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Guanabara City FC x Mineiros EC

Is betting on Guanabara City FC worth it?

🔵 Guanabara City FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$200.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $777.00;
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$147.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Mineiros EC?

🔴 Mineiros EC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.84%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $471.20
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$218.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Guanabara City FC x Mineiros EC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Guanabara City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Guanabara City FC x Mineiros EC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Guanabara City FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Guanabara City FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Guanabara City FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Guanabara City FC x Mineiros EC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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