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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Guarani x Amazonas FC Betting tips for November 13 in Brazil Serie B
Wednesday, 13 November 2024, 00h00 Brazil Serie B
Guarani Guarani
PREDICTION No tip
Amazonas FC Amazonas FC
Don't miss this prediction!

Guarani x Amazonas FC Betting tips for November 13 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Guarani x Amazonas FC, Wednesday, 13/11/2024
πŸ“… 13/11/2024
00:00
Guarani Guarani
2.04
X
3.00
Amazonas FC Amazonas FC
3.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Guarani x Amazonas FC:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Guarani x Amazonas FC

Important information for your tip for Guarani x Amazonas FC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Guarani in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $190.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Amazonas FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Amazonas FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Amazonas FC as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Guarani x Amazonas FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Guarani x Amazonas FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Guarani x Amazonas FC for the Brazil Serie B – 13 of November

🏟️ Guarani X Amazonas FC – Brazil Serie B
πŸ“… 13 of November, 2024 – 00:00
πŸ”΅ Guarani – Winning probability: 46.25% | Fair line: 2.16
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.05% | Fair line: 3.03
πŸ”΄ Amazonas FC – Winning probability: 20.70% | Fair line: 4.83
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Guarani
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Guarani x Amazonas FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1220942 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Guarani x Amazonas FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Guarani?

πŸ”΅ Guarani: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $478.40
  • And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$61.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $660.00;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$10.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on Amazonas FC worth it?

πŸ”΄ Amazonas FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $609.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$181.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Guarani x Amazonas FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Guarani
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Guarani x Amazonas FC

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Guarani and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Guarani.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Guarani x Amazonas FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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